Dreary Considerations : Introduction

Tenebrous Nous

- - - - - - - - - - - -

This is a special section dedicated to those deeply troubled thoughts,
considerations, sagacities, deliberations & follies
that-- i would like to believe --are
an elemental component of everyones most recessive Id's.

So don't be so judgemental when you discover
how disturbing my normally secret
perspicaciousness tends towards.

Generally Darkish Thoughts...

It's taken me awhile to get going on this topic area...
So i'll just fill in some Generally Darkish Thoughts now,
so that it'll have something at least, until i start to fill it in...

1. Smokers
   i grew up around a family of smokers, and all during that time,
   And now, Perhaps more so...!!! i was and am, a FANATICAL ANTISMOKING NAZI...!!!
   i would like to Slash at them all with a Light Saber...!!!
   This is my usual responce to just about every frustration i have...
   Slash at anyone within striking distance, with a Bright, Neon Red, Light Saber.
   The Great thing about a consequental remains from a Light Saber, i would imagine, would be that all the smaller arteries would be cauterized, so that severing mere limbs would be nearly liquid free.
   
2. Terrorism
   i think that Terrorism is an Entirely Reasonable Response for Minority Individuals &/or Groups to utilize when The Central Authority has Denied them their Elemental Rights by means of The Courts, or even A Free Press.
   This; By the way, is an excellent example, Demonstrating the Lack of A Free Press in this [ The USA ] Country...!!! When was the last time you saw or heard of some Minority Group, that was later Trampled Over, Able to express their views in a Local or National Forum...???
   They are shut out.
   And consequently; Their only reasonable venue for Free Speech, is to blow stuff up.
   
3. How to Build your Own Cruise Missle
   It seems to me that it would be very easy, using a small computer, a GPS reciever and a few pounds of black market Plastic Explosive ( or Make Your Own from recipes found on the internet ) -- Then load that all onto a reasonably enlarged Hobby Kit Glider ( Made from BalsaWood, that would be harder to detect with RADAR ) with an electric &/or rocket engine... and Voila!, you've got a Cruise Missile.
   The curious thing about this; If it is so easy, and i can't see how it couldn't be, then why aren't the masses of disenfranchised using them...???
   
4. Robot Assassins
   This is undoubtedly the main reason why Robots are being suppressed...!!!
   With my idea, you'd build a robot around a small rock, say generally roundish, about 6_inches long, and put legs on it.
   i think that any Robot on Wheels is a Cheat! and unworthy of being called a Robot.
   So this would have retractable legs and little tiny holes for video, and a Cell Phone to transmit infomation to it's controller... And the gun. ( it would be a little autonomous, but mostly, in this incarnation, it's acting as a remote servant ).
   Then you'd simply heave it over a fence or wall into the area where the potential victim lives, and then walk it over to a good spot, at night, possibly during a rain storm. Rain Storms are terrific for keeping prying eyes away from mysteriously wandering boulders.
   Then you'd wait for a good shot, and take it.
   Why don't we see this sort of thing happening all the time...???
   Maybe it does, and the Media is suppressing it, to reduce the number of copycats, or maybe The Time Travelers from The Future are nipping it in the bud...???
   
5. Another Version of A Robot Assassin
   This one would hidden away, waiting, patiently waiting, waiting for months, or years for someone important to come along... The POW!
   Where to hide a Sleeper Assassinating Robot...
   In one of the kewl boxes on the top of a building, with a Stenciled Warning: DANGER: HIGH VOLTAGE: KEEP CLEAR
   Or underground, in an vacant lot...
   Or inside a piece of furniture, in an apartment, overlooking a square where politicians occasionally give speeches...???
   Then: When the time is ripe, it pops out of it's turtle like enclosure, and POW!
   
6. Robot Airplane Assassinators...!!!
   i think that you should be getting the idea by now...
   Why isn't anyone using these...???
   It seems very mysterious to me...!
   
7. War On Terrorism...
   You know...
   If there really was a War On Terrorism...
   That is; ( e.g. ) There really were Terrorists that Western Civilization was at War with...
   Then they certainly are VERY, VERY INCOMPETENT...
   Where is this War taking place...???
   There are SO VERY MANY Excellent ways to Blow Stuff Up...
   Why isn't ANYTHING getting Blown Up...???
   The ONLY Reasonable explaination is:
   There is NO War On Terror...
   It's all Made Up...
   So that...???
   Prelude to a Full Blown Police State...???
   Or--
   Was this all Orcestrated by a small group of Texas Millionaires,
   Just to inflate the price of Oil...???
   It would actually take only a few key 'Agents' to implant disinformation into another few key 'Government Employees' to make just about any crazy thing happen...!!!
   
8. Hints on How to Blown Stuff Up...
   What 911 taught even the most dull witted student of anarchy,
   Was that common household appliances,
   Such as Airplanes could be used as Explosive Devices.
   What makes an Airplane such a good Improvised Device?
   It's mobile, and it has Lots of Potential Energy stored in it.
   What else would be good to consider?
   Gas Stations, Nuclear Power Plants, Big Trucks, Electrical Power Dams, Tall Trees, Tall Buildings ( packed together like sardines ), Fat People...
   Imagine simply knocking over a fat person at the top of a hill, where a crowd has gathered.
   Think Outside The Box!
   Think Outside of The Box, that The Box was Delivered in!
   ...Warehouses where flamable things are stored, Or Toxic Things...
   Maybe you could make it look like an industrial accident...!
   
9. Motivation & Intent...
   i would like to digress for a moment, after that last comment/suggestion of making a Terrorist Attack look like a Accident...???
   The Entire Functionality, it would seem to me, of a Terrorist Attack;
   Is to Assertively Promote 'Reasonability' into The Thinking &/or Policies of your Enemy.
   And as such: They need to known that you're the one ( or group ) that is blowing stuff up.
   That seems obvious-- Doesn't it?
   Yet many allegedly Terrorist Groups seem so convinced that their demands are so thoroughly understood by their enemy, that they neglect to mention them.
   !!!
   Don't let this Ridiculous Oversight happen to You...!!!
   Contact your Enemy BEFORE each attack and give them some kind of hint, or clue, as to what the Target will be and When... Along with constant REMINDERS of what you expect from them in Return...!!!
   And let The Damp Masses Know too... Their Government isn't going to tell them, that the reason you're blowing stuff up is because they've ( The Government's ) been trampling on you for the last 50 years...
   If you're not going to tell them, who will...???
   
10. How to OverThrow a Government
    This idea occured to me the other day, and it seems so simple...???
    You announce to a country that you've planted some number of Atom-Bombs in various cities, and that unless they overthrow their illegally established, and highly crimminal government within the next 48 hours, you'll start detonating the bombs.
    Of course; It would be helpful if you had at least one bomb to detonate at the beginning, just to let them know that you're reasonably serious...
    And then you'd also have to have all the other bombs, In Place, at the beginning of this experiment...
    Each bomb, or Faux Bomb, would be surrounded with 'Trip Devices' to keep anyone from removing or disarming it...
    And if they are only Faux Bombs, you'd want them to exhibit those qualities, such as radioactiviity & weight, that a real bomb would posess.
    ---
    Again... There are so many excellent ideas that a Real, Active Terrorist group should be employing... that there is NO WAY that i could ever believe that there is a Real al-Qaeda... If such an organization actually exists, then they must all be Native Hawai'ians.
    
11. Pre-Uranium Bomb
    It seems to me that it 'should' be possible to build a Nuclear Bomb without Uranium or Plutonium...!
    The reason that Uranium is used, is because it's 'Radioactive' to such a degree that if you simply pile a bunch of it together, it will blow up without any prompting...!!!
    But there are lots of other Elements that are Radioactive too, and it should be possible... i would think... doesn't it make SENSE that if you took like one element below Uranium,
    like: Protactinium... ( OK-- that one sounds pretty rare... ) or Bismuth #86 to Uranium's #92...
    Bismuth sounds like the first one, moving down from Uranium, to be common enough to buy it in sufficient quantities to make a B-Bomb...!
    So you would simply accumulate enough of it... How much...??? ...and help it along a little bit by bombarding the pile of it with Naked Neutrons.
    OK-- i don't have all the details on how to do this; But if you've been trying to buy an old Russion Nuclear warhead and they seem to be 'Currently Unavailable' or 'Too Pricy', then you may want to consider making a B-Bomb.
    Be sure and e-mail me with the results that you get from your experiments!
    
12. Pirate T.V.
    i'm sure you've heard of Pirate Radio...
    These are Radio Stations that either operate at such low transmiting power, that they are 'Overlooked' by the FCC, or are Stationed on an Oil Platform past the 3 or 10 mile ( ??? ) Limit off the Pacific or Atlantic Seaboards...
    Why have we never heard of Pirate T.V.
    This idea occurred to me High School, and i was thinking, why not use The Fence around the School as the Antenna...???
    Another idea would be to release A Balloon with a MicroWave Reflector on it, so that you could broadcast to It... and then The FCC wouldn't be able to Hone in on you...!!!
    What could you Broadcast...???
    Pornography of course.
    But not just any Pornography... Oh No!
    Peep Show Pornography; taken through peoples windows...
    How Delicously Evil...!!!
    
13. Future Present...???
    Cloned Humanimal Robots...
    OK... This idea may be unavailable for a few more years;
    But i've been wondering about how 'Ethical' it would be to...
    ...'Scan' Someone ( Attractive Young Women: for example )
    and then make an Exact Biological Duplicate of them,
    But change their Brains a little bit, so that this new version would be madly in love with me!
    She would still retain whatever Freewill that everyone else has,
    and she would be completely Autonomous,
    So that any claim that the 'Template' has to her, would be moot...
    She just wouldn't have Freewill from The Get-Go.
    Does anyone really have Freewill from The Get-Go...???
    Would this be 'Alright'...???
    
14. Synthetic Reality Burglar
    i'm not sure what i would call this exactly...???
    But it basically works like this...
    i would knock on someone's door ( Attractive Young Female; for example )
    and she would invite me in; on the pretense that i would be conducting a 'Modern' Survey;
    And this would require them to Wear A Headset, with which their Inner Most Opinions could be recorded... Naturally; they would sign an agreement that would protect their privacy and we would disregard any opinions that the device recorded that were not pertinent to our study...!
    But this would all be a Ruse...!!!
    What the device is actually doing; Is Reading her Expectations of what she Percieves as Real and Playing them back to her, so that she would then be 'Placed' into a False Reality that Exactly Mirrored the One that she Actually Live In...!!!
    i would then conduct a survey of sorts, then remove the headset and leave...
    But she would still be sitting on the couch, with the headset still on, and i would still be at the controls...!!!
    Once this is Established; The Operator; Me: could modify that reality in a variety of ways.
    i could oversee their experiences from a Gawd-Perspective, looking down on her, or as an Invisible Agent, or become a person they are expecting to see, and act through that person...
    Making; for example a close friend, say or do, the most outrageous things...!!!
    Or i could create entirely new people, animals, fantasy creatures &/or entire realities to superimpose upon her.
    The element of time may be speeded up,
    or i may have to isolate the subject in a office suite somewhere to play out a good senario that may last for several days...! ( It may be necessary to carefully select people that may easily go 'missing' for several days, or weeks, at a time...! ) - ( It may also be necessary to attach I.V's or Catheter's into various orifice's for the duration...??? )
    The most masterful stroke would be to Cycle the situation around, So that when you take Off the actual, Real Headset, she is where you started and all the things that happened, will make sense in the continuation of her existence when you leave her. ( ??? )
    

Inventions, Innovations & Other Heresys

Inventions, Ideas & Various Social Experiments

It's been suggested that a Genius is someone that comes up with at least One Really Good, Original Idea...
Well-- i come up with new ideas all the time...
Some of them are good,
Some of them are original,
( i freely lift ideas from other sources and promote them, as is needed, from time to time...
new & good ideas really need all the promotion that they can muster...
it's been frequently mentioned, ( although new inventors never seem to believe it...!!! )
that you needn't fear that people are going to steal your new and good ideas or inventions...
But rather; you'll be spending all your post inventions time, trying to get people to look at it...!!! )
But only a few of them are both good and original...
( Sometimes only a little Originality is Necessary... ( ! )---

It might also be mentioned that There are No Really Original Ideas...
All New Ideas come from the pieces of Old Ideas...
If an Idea were really Entirely New, You wouldn't even be able to look at it...!!!
It would nothing more than a lump of Indistinquishable, UnIdentifiable globby things...!!!

Inventions, Ideas Index

Inventions, Ideas
& Various Social Experiments

The Index:

1. Phase Arrayed Camera
   This is pretty much what i would think of as a Tricorder...
2. Internal Inertia Genertator
   Engine without a Transmission...
   Or AntiGravity...???
3. IQ One Hundred Town
   A Social Experiment that would shame Richard Herrnstein; The Writer of The Bell Curve...!!!
4. How Stupid is Normal?
   Something that occurred to be recently is; Do Normal people see things the same way that intelligent 'Artists' see things...
   Might it be that Normal ( The Damp Masses ) Humanimals, can only see stylized approximations of things...
   This is not entirely foundationless....
   One phenomena that i've noticed personally is how i see things now, as compared to how i used to see things as a child. i distinctly recall specfic feelings and attitudes about things that i saw as a child, and now, viewing those same things later, ( sometimes only a short time later, such as a few years ) i'm struck with how 'Real' i thought that they were then, and how 'Fake' they look now...!!! ( Such as Television shows that i used to think of as 'Realistic' -- Police Story, Hill Street Blues, The Dick Van Dyke Show, and others... -- And now i see they as Very Highly Stylized...!!! )
   This is Very Curious... Is the way we see things really so dependant on our cultural conditioning...???
   And as such; Are Normal People more susseptible to this...
   This may be indicated to some degree by the primative and stylized drawings they make of things,
   Or perhaps it could be more accurately measured by first establishing very carefully with each test subject that you want them to precisely rate, to the best of their ability, The 'Realness' of various pictures that they are shown...
   Will they be able to tell the difference between a nominally realistically drawn picture, and a photograph, or a artistically stylized photograph from a less contrived one...???
   Another interesting thing to consider is how 'Photographers' DATE-STAMP their pictures, even ones that they, and their audience think are 'Completely UNArtistic...!'
   This would have to be taken into consideration...???
   What would the results be for a complete CrossSection of a Given Culture...
   For Different Cultures... Industrialized vs PreIndustrialized...
   Literate vs PreLiterate...??? Westernized vs Eastern or Arabic...???
   
5. PreCogitator
   A Modest Outline for The Long Overdue 'Next Generation' of Computers that will Genuinely Think, and may, or may not, be Genuinely Conscious...???
   
6. Universal Hieroglyphical Language
   A PostLiteracy Tool for Global Understanding...
   
7. Unbiquity of Robots
   i just don't understand were all the Robots are...???
   It seems to me that it would simplisity itself to come up with a 'Kit' that could be used by any attentive 5th grader to make all sorts of interesting & potentially dangerous Robots...
   Which may be why-- Someone, somewhere, somehow; Is suppressing them...!
   
1. Develope a simple controller, or use an off the shelf programmable calculator; Such as an HP48, to be the brains of the Robot...
   There's a certain school of thought that some robots may benefit from 'Local Brains' which do nothing buy control a single leg, or group of legs, and act in a Daughterish manner, subservient to the Mother Brain...
   This is potentially a good idea and if you'd like to experiment with it, i whole heartedly would encourage you to do so... ( But it's not absolutely necessary, especially for beginneresque roboting... )
2. The next step is come up with a bunch of Motors and Magnetic Plungers and such... Various devices that push and pull things, and then add little bits of controlling circuitry to them, ( by way of NAND Circuits ...??? ) that allow the Brain to turn them Off and On. All these Devices would have Unique names, such as "A26" or "G47", So that the brain could simply refer to that device, as it is linked either serially or in paralell to all the other Devices ( And Sensors ) and Tell it to turn On or Off.
   Such a command within the Robot controller Language might look like:
   DEVICE (A26,1)
   Which would mean; Device, ( Motor ) A Section, Unit 26, Turn On.
   If you had a complicated Step Motor or some such, then the command may be slightly more complicated...???
3. Likewise; There would be Sensors that would be capable of returning quantitative data that represented contact with a surface, temperature, rotational bearing, compass direction, visual brightness, sound frequency or intensity, or a video image or sound clip...
   Again; Each Sensor would have a Unique name and could be called by the Central Brain to return it's latest or current Sensor Measurement.
   The Central Brain's Command may look like this;
   SENSOR (EP91,1)
   Which means; Sensor, ( Light Sensor ) Section E, Division P, Unit 91, Send me your latest Reading.
   Then the Sensor EP91 would download it's Numerical Data to a PreSelected File, such as 'SensorReadings'.
   Which the Central Brain would pull the data from, and act on it according to other Propositional Conditionals... ( Robotic Behaviours...! )
4. Then you'd attach these motors and sensors to a platform of Lego Blocks or Erector Set Pilons, or combination thereof, along with lots of customized structures made from cardboard, styrofoam & plastic sheets...
5. Then write a program to make it fully autonomous...
Why isn't this sort of thing available...???
One of the principle reasons is that if such robots were to become available, there would be a sudden outbreak of robotcentric crime...!!!
But a more curious problem is: Who could be suppressing this technology...???
The basic ideas outlined here are so simple and ubiqutous are available to anyone, anywhere...
Who could possibly have the power to suppressing something as commonplace as this...???

8. Use Clones to Test for ESP
   Make a few hundred clones, wait for them to mature to teenages, then test them for ESP...
   What could be simpler...???
9. Court Recordings
   Such a Simple and Modest Idea...
   Create an Entertaining & Logical Argument to Convict The Accused, and Record it for Posterity...???
10. Citizen Prosecutors
    This idea sounds so reasonable that i'm almost sure that it must actually be implimented... Somewheres...???
    It simply allows Ordinary Citizens to Become City, County, State or Federal Prosecutors for any crime that they think needs prosecuting, and discover that the local municipality is unwilling, or financially unable, to prosecute that particular crime...
    This would be particularly useful in prosecuting Police Officers that The District Attorney refuses to prosecute for some eggregious act, that if anyone else were guilty of, or suspected of, would be summarily, covered with raw honey and blown out of a short cannon into a stinky land fill infested with large, overwrought fire ants.
11. Maturity Index
    There are tests for Intelligence...
    Should there be a test for Maturity, which would allow you to be, or not be--
    Or-- Allow you to CHOOSE to be, or not be;
    A Full Fledged Citizen...???
12. Fair, Minority Representative PsuedoDemocracy
13. Complete Fractional Reality Representations
14. Allowance for MicroNations
15. Taxivators
    Might it be possible to jump into something that looks just like an Elevator in a Skyscrper in New York City; and within this tiny box, travel at near supersonic speed, across the country, or around the world...???
16. Ubiquitous Alternative Transportations Pathways
17. Freedom of Fashion
18. Digital Companions
19. International/Global Security Force with Bite!
20. Full Corporate Product & Services Access
21. Perpetual Motion Machine
22. What We Really Know, And How We Know It : Book
23. Gazelle Legs
    i saw this originally in an old Discover Magazine, and it all the ear marks of becoming a BIG HIT, A Fabulous New Fad, A Technology that would Revolutionize World Transportation...
    And then-- Months and Years went by and noone picked up on it...???
    Then i found a web page from Denmark, or some other crazy Scandinavian Country, After some guy on a bus told me that these things, That were substantially different from the devices in the Discover Magazine, but still effected the same purpose...???...Were Hugely Popular in California...!!!
    But Now-- i can't seem to relocate that Web Page or any information on these things at all...!!!
    Obviously; My first Impressions were correct, That they would Revolutionize the world,
    And Consequently; They've been Suppressed...!!!
24. System / Organization to Exploit / Maximize Crazy People
25. Bug Hat
    There are at least two versions of this,
    The Main one is Electronic, and consists of a helmet with a number of video cameras arranged around it, or the cameras could be arranged around a car or airplane, With two video displays over The Wearer's Eyes, Large enough, so that they fill the wearer's complete field of vision! This field of vision is parceled out so that the wearer can see all around themselves, and with sufficient practice, make sense of it to such an extent that they have depth perception of objects that both in front of, and directly behind themselves...!
    The second version of this is that it has the same effect, but that it's accomplished entirely with optical components.
    Additional versions may have Infered and Ultraviolet spectrums included,
    Or Additional Frequencies, or Magnetic, NightVision, or Sound Visualizations...!
    It might also be constructed so that the wearer's head remains completely stationary, and that to focus on a particular object to the side of the visual field, the wearer would simply 'Gaze' at it for an extended time, such as 2_seconds...?
    Additional features may include Zoom in & out, Colour or Contrast shifting, or Window within a Window, and/or Complete Internet Functionality...???
    
26. Ornocopter
    This is an Airplane that works by flapping it's Wings...
    i would be particularly interested though, in one that looks and operates, just like a Fly.
    
27. Construction Extruders
28. Reverse Spinning Hub-Caps
    i'm sure you've seen those hub-caps that spin, even when the car is stationary...
    Well, i was thinking, wouldn't it be fun if they were arranged with gears and reverse balance wheels, hehind them, so that they would spin in exactly the opposite direction and speed as the wheel... So that they would be stationary when the car was moving...
    So even though the wheel would be moving, the hub-cap, would be motionless, rotational wize, so that the car would appear to be Gliding, rather than rolling along...???!!!
    
29. Active / Functional Lie / Truth / Secrets Detector
    Some time ago, on a TV program called; The Agency ( about the CIA, since canceled ) they featured an 'Effect' very much like the truth detector that i've been thinking about creating for along time, But with their version, and with another version, featured on 60 Mintues... My version would be much more extensive, and Less mobile, and More configured to Each Individual that is tested...
    The idea though, that the device would be looking for 'things' ( information ) that only the guilty person would have knowledge of, is fairly well established...
    You're not just looking for the person to 'Lie'... You're looking for places where the subject would react with familiarity to things that they couldn't or shouldn't know.
    With my version; The device would consist of a large number of sensory systems that would take advantage of every external expression that a body could produce--
    Such as ( But not limited to...! ) Pupil size, Brain waves, Sweatiness, ElectroConductivity, Breathing, Skin Temperature, Muscle contractions or relaxations, Stomach or Intestinal Convulsions, Urine or Blood composition ( Taken & measured continuously ), Genitalia Excitation, Anal pinching... and so on...
    Then each subject would be exposed to a wide variety of ordinary and supernormal, dada and sexual, Optical and Auditory stimulous, along with banal and bizarre questions to create an extensive profile of how they react to various activities...
    Once that was extablished; Pertenent Questioning could begin.
    The thing that i am most skeptical about, concerning other versions of 'Advanced' True Detectors, is that they axiomatically assume that everyone is going to express the same brain wave or even brain area excitment patterns to the same sorts of stimulous...
    This is like presupposing, as many do, that everyones dream imagery means the same thing for each individual...???
    This seems hardly likely.
    
30. Borg Communities Based on Implanted CellPhones...
31. School Projects
    
    1. Punishment Jar
       One of the most annoying elements of being mischeievious in school is having to stay after and endure some mind destroying punshment; such as copying several pages from a dictionary...!
       With the Punishment Jar: The student would pick an envelope from the jar and it would contain some difficult task that would have some redeemable qualtity to it, such as learning to juggle or memorizing the Declaration of Independence...???
    2. Best Student List
       Each student should be aware of where they are in the class standing, from minute to minute, and this listing could be constructed from plaques with each student's name on it, so that it could be moved easily from one tier to another at the teachers whim. This would allow poor students to enjoy an afternoon of high standing from time to time, while the best students would be necessarily constantly aware that their position is subject to review.
    3. Dunce Cap
    4. War on Drugs
       i've always felt that the strongest argument for some point must include an open and derisive consideration of the opposeing viewpoint... Rather than just simply ignoring it.
       With Recreational Narcotics; This is especially important.
       One Drug poster idea i have is to divide the poster into four sections; So that one contains a picture and opinion of The Lay Student, Representing 'Common Sense'; Then another section would be The Heretical Scientist offering some argument for a particular Drug, Then an Orthodox Scientist would have another Section, and of course, The Drug's user should have a section...
       
32. Magick Tricks
    The Disappearing Elephant
    
33. Various Film Ideas...
34. - - - -

UnExpected Patterns : An HP48gx Experiment

Something Kooky that i’ve been playing around with for quite awhile is a collection of programs & approaches that create –roughly- “Fractal” like designs that are initiated by creating Seed Generators;
That by any lay persons estimation; Should produce random gibberish.
---
This current version plots a series of Pixels on The Display into a Spiral; As the Superstructure Template.
Because the Display is constructed from an x – y Grid, Some of the Plot Points, Particularly along the Diagonals, may be Misplaced, Forgotten or Overlaid onto previous Pixel Positions.
i’ve given a small amount of thought as to how this may be corrected, and decided that given the limitations of my Computational Platform: The HP48gx, It would be too much trouble, And cause the already, very slow Cycling Period to Creep along even slower.
So that problem is simply endured.
The pattern that this caused may be generated by creating a Seed Generator that causes All Pixel Points to Turn On. So that The Gaps can be viewed.
Then another Spiral may be created using XOR for all Points, and when these are compared, Overlaps may be Determined.
---
All programs are listed in PsuedoFlowChart Form to make is ‘Easy’ to translate them into whatever programming language that you are currently working with.
---
[ Start ]
( Although Start is listed first; you need to create a Seed Generator First, and test it. )
Create a Pictorial Area
Define The Plot Parameters to –1 to 1 along the x & y axis.
Determine The Size of One Pixel ( Width ) = ‘pixel’ Store
Pixels should be arranged with The Size of The Pictorial Area
And the Plot Parameters to be Square; i.e., Same Width as Height
Create a bunch of Variables to be used later:
pixel / 2 = ‘radius’ Store
0 = ‘angle’ Store
0 = ‘x’ Store
0 = ‘y’ Store
(0,0) = ‘last’ Store
0 = ‘length’ Store
Current Time = ‘time’ Store
Display Pictorial Area
Initiate an If Error Conditional that envelops the entire cyclic program, such that if it is artificially disturbed, The Then Consequent will be activated.
This Then Consequent will consist of Simply Ending the program prematurely,
Upon which the Terminal Instructions will be followed.
The Cyclical Core:
SINE ( angle ) * radius
COSINE ( angle ) * radius
Save as ‘x’ & ‘y’
x & y Real to Complex
Subtract from ‘last’ to Determine Distance from the Last Pixel
=+ ( Save Accumulatively into ) ‘length’ Store+
‘length’ is the Length of the Spiral as it twists around the central focii.
Save the Complex Point just created as the new ‘last’
Calculate The New ‘angle’ & ‘radius’
( radius * 2 * pi ) / pixel = ‘a1’ Store [ Temporary Variable ]
360 / a1 =+ ( Save Accumulatively into ) ‘angle’ Store+
pixel / a1 =+ ( Save Accumulatively into ) ‘radius’ Store+
Run [ SeedGenerator ]
The Seed Generator creates a 0 or 1
x & y Real to Complex
If Seed Generators Created a 1 : Plot a Pixel at ( x,y )
Continue Cycle Until radius => 1
Terminus Instructions
Current Time – time : Display Results
-
---
A completed Spiral on The HP49gx, takes significantly longer than an hour for a 131 by 131 pixel PICTURE.
-
---
[ Seed Genertor ]
This consists of a series of functions & commands that ultimately boils down to either a 0 or 1
You may use The Global Variables; radius, angle, length x, y, last or pixel...
Along with all the usual mathematical constants; such as pi, e, or i ( et. al. )
Essentially; Anything goes.
Ideally; You’re trying to create a ‘procedure’ that couldn’t possibly generate an meaningful or orderly pattern or structure...
To add to this Mayhem; i’ve created a [ Pick ] program that Picks out a digit from a Real or Otherwise Number... such that if you Ran Pick ( 4 ) on 9.43E62 : The Result would be 6
What i’ve discovered using this tool, is that given a series of numbers generated in an otherwise conventional manner, The Pick Tool will separate out ‘Layers’ of Complexity from the Resultant Numbers...???
The farther you pick digits to the Right ( Least Significant ? ) The more intricate, subtle and complex the resulting Pattern becomes.
Sample Seed Generator:
angle INVERT + length FRACTION PART [ Pick ( 3 ) ] 2 MODULUS
-
---
[ Test ]
This is intended to determine if The Seed Generator you’ve created will generate a reasonable number of both 0’s and 1’s.
The proportionality should be around 50 / 50.
i’ve also added another feature, So that it calculates (?) how long it will take to create One Animation Box.
So that; if you later wish to Use a Seed Generator to make a sereis of Plots, each Rotated by an appropriate increment, for the purpose of Animating them, this feature should give you some idea of how long it will take to make however many pictures you wish to make...
0 = ‘time’ Store
0 = ‘sum’ Store
0 to 100 Loop FOR abc
Display abc
: RAND ( Generate Random Number from 0 < difference ="+">
---
Extra Dealies...
---
[ Pix? ]
Takes ( x,y )
IF this pixel is ON,
THEN turn it off.
ELSE turn in on.
END
-
---
[ Pick ]
Picks out a Individual Digit from a Number
Number = 'n' Store
Position = 'p' Store
What is the SIGN of n = 's' Store
n MANTISSA Portion / 10
Convert to String
n EXPONTENT
Convert to String
Add together
2 12 SUB
( to remove the decimal point )
p p SUB
IF result is a Null String
THEN replace with "0"
Convert from String to Real.
Multiple by s
-
---
Make an Animation
[ Toon ]
IF count DOES NOT EQUAL 0
THEN continue from last interruption...
ELSE start a new one...
END
Continue?
Ask User if s/he like to continue with the Interrupted Version?
IF SO...
360 / frames = 'step' Store
Recall the Name of the List of Graphic Objects, where they were previously being stored... = 'save' Store
IF NOT - Start a New Animation
Ask for how many Frames are Desired = 'frames' Store
360 / frames = 'step' Store
0 = 'counter' Store
Create a Unique name for the list of Graphic Objects;
Use that Name to Store an Empty List;
Then save the Name in = 'save' Store
Create a Pictorial Area
Set x & y Plot Parameters so that each Pixel Dimension is the same as The Larger, Single Graphic Object Dimensions for each Pixel...???
So that it'll look the same as your 'Preview' Version...
The Animation Boxes, according to this thinking, will be substantially smaller than the Preview, Single Plot Version...
Set all Variables
360 / frames = 'step' Store
{ } = 'save' Store
count * step = 'begin' Store
Size of One Pixel ( Width ) = 'pixel' Store
pixel / 2 = 'radius' Store
0 = 'angle' Store
0 = 'x' Store
0 = 'y' Store
( 0,0 ) = 'last' Store
0 = 'length' Store
Current Time = 'time' Store
Create an IF ERROR structure that contains the entire core program.
If An Interrupt occurs, simply display "Aborted" Reminder
Then Proceed to Termination Instructions
LOOP begin to 359 FOR abc
Display Cleared Pictorial Area
Display Counter : frames - count
DO LOOP
SINE ( angle + abc ) * radius = 'x' Store
COSINE ( angle + abc ) * radius = 'y' Store
ABS ( ( x, y ) - last ) =+ 'length' Store+
( x,y ) = 'last' Store
( pi * radius * 2 ) / pixel = 'b1' Store ( Temp )
360 / b1 =+ 'angle' Store+
pixel / b1 =+ 'radius' Store+
Run Seed Generator
IF result = 1 THEN turn Pixel ( x,y ) to Black END
UNTIL radius = .565685 END
( for a reduced version .565685 represents a subset of the larger Preview Version :
Diagonal of a .4 by .4 Box )
Draw Box around Plotted Material
(.4,.4) (-.4,-.4 ) Draw Box
(.4,.4) (-.4,-.4 ) Sub Out of Pictorial Area
Recall save ( Name of List ) Save Subbed Graphic into this Name.
Reset Variables
pixel / 2 = 'radius' Store
0 = 'angle' Store
0 = 'length' Store
0 ROUNDOFF ( abc / step ) = 'count' Store
step STEP ( abc LOOP )
0 = 'count' Store
0 = 'frames' Store
IF ERROR Occurred
THEN Clear Stack : Display "Aborted" END
Current Time - time : Tag as "Elapsed Time"
-
---
[ h.m.s. ]
For the HP48gx ( et. al. ??? )
Converts a Time Format to a more Friendly Time Format
3.1206 becomes 03:12:06
-- = Program Delimiters...!!!
STD DUP XPON DUP
0 < -- DROP 0 -- IFT SWAP .00001 + ->STR "00" SWAP +
DUP "." POS
-> x $ p
--
$ p x 1 + DUP 2 < -- DROP 2 -- IFT - p 1 - SUB ":" $ p 1 + DUP 1 + SUB ":" $ p 3 + DUP 1 + SUB + + + + -- --
End

Winning at Roulette

Contents:
Initial Rant / Introduction
Essential Overview
The Data
The Programs used on My HP48gx; as Crude Flowcharts
---

Initial Rant / Introduction
---
i found a book the other day that reminded me of a 'theory' involving statistical manipulation that i'd been thinking about for a long time, and this brief article in:
The Pig that Wants to be Eaten /
100 [ Thought ( Gedankenversuch ) ] Experiments for The Armchair Philosopher
Assembled by Julian Baggini © 2005
---
...discussed it without a deeper search for it's possible implications...
---
So i began to consider them...
The essential idea was that if you're standing beside a roulette wheel and you become aware that there has been an unusual sequence of 'Reds' that have come up...
A Black should be long overdue, and that statistically,
it would be prudent to bet a large sum on Black. ( ??? )
---
The article insisted however that each spin entails it's own probability factor,
which for a Roulette Wheel, the chances of Red or Black coming up, on any given spin, would be about 9 in 19, or not quite half...
Because-- of the two green slots, Zero and ZeroZero.
As much as you think Black is 'Overdue' for any given sequence of spins...
And It might well be overdue... Each spin must be considered on its own merits...
---
So i wrote a program on my HP48gx Programable Calculator to check this out...
And sure enough, there was no perceivable advantage to betting a constant amount on the under-represented colour.
---
Are you surprised by this?
i was surprised by this...
But i also got to thinking...
Just which spins are you considering...???
That is; Are you considering the last 6 spins, or the last 60, 600 or 6000...???
Each spin on a roulette wheel takes about 2 minutes to complete it's cycle
from taking in all the bets,
to determining the winner,
to paying off everyone,
or collecting their loses,
to starting over again...
So there is this 'Time Constraint' to how many spins you can consider...
Plus -- The Casino's generally don't like people that are playing a 'System'...
So that they may scowl and grunt when you begin taking notes or entering data into a lap top computer...
So-- If there is a System that can exploit some statistical weakness in the operation of the Roulette Wheel; We're going to have to keep in simple, Simple enough so that you can work it in your head.
---
Is there such a System?
i think that there is...
But i haven't quite worked it out -Completely- yet... !!! ???
What i do have; Are several pages of VERY promising data, and some numbers that seem to suggest that,
given my present betting suggestions,
You can CONSISTENTLY WIN...
a very small amount per spin.
---
How small...?
About 6¢ per spin, when betting with a 'Base Unit' of 1$...???
If your base unit was $1000, then you'd consistently win $60 per spin.
---
It's VERY IMPORTANT to remember though...
That this is Gambling...
You can not control ( by this method ) the outcome of individual spins,
So that there is ALSO The Possibility that you could lose your Alpha Kitty...!!!
---
The Alpha Kitty is the amount that you start out with.
For all my Analytic Runs,
that consisted of a very unrealistic number of spins,
in the thousands...
i started each with $300, and usually... Usually won another $300, consistently...
UNLESS--
And this is the curious part...
If the number of Reds or Blacks suddenly flew off in some VERY Anomolous direction,
Then the System faltered...!!!
It Crashed.
The Kitty was lost.
---
BUT -- If the Reds & Blacks behaved themselves, and stuck within their statistical range of normalacies...
Then i would consistently win.
Consistently.
---
It would be a Roller Coaster.
I'm not saying it's NOT a Roller Coaster...!!!
You win some, you lose some...
But you win more often than you lose...!
---
That is...
Let me tell you the secret.
You don't actually win more often than you lose...
The system predicts whether a Black or Red will come up next,
But it's Not any better than Chance at this...!!!
---
But this is THE CRAZIEST PART...
When i set up Two Players,
The Dumb Player picks randomly and bets randomly,
It Consistently Loses...
But The Smart Player; Using this System, predicts which Colour will come up,
and bets ACCORDINGLY-- It Consistently Wins...!!!
---
The SECRET is the BETTING.
The Sledge Hammer approach to this is that;
The greater the SUPPOSED CHANCE of either Black or Red will come up,
You BET More...
So if for a given stretch of spins:
Red has come up 8 times,
and Black has come up 4 times...
You would bet a comparitively Larger Amount on Black,
Than if Black had come up 6 times...
---
That should seem simple and obvious.
---
But how much should you bet...???
This gave me alot of trouble.
As i mentioned before, It would depend, statistically on how many spins you were considering-
If you're only considering the last 12 spins, Red might seem highly OverRepresented, but if you're considering 6000 spins, Red might be sorely UnderRepresented...!!!
???
Allowing for this; The thoughtful person would conclude that the system couldn't possibly work...!!!
But the data i've accumulated seems to unequivocally suggest that it DOES Work...!!!
And -- i also suspect that if i could refine The Betting Scale,
i could win more consistently, with greater results...
---
What do i have so far?
i started out with a straight coin flip, and consistently got results like:
Smart player 1524 -vs- Dumb player 109
Smart player 1788 -vs- Dumb player 892
Dumb did occasionally win on these early trials...
But not by the amounts that Smart was winning, when Smart won...
---
One thing i noticed, was the variance of Maximum to Minimum Wins for Dumb when i played with 500 flips. Dumb's range was consistently around 600...
So that if it's best number of wins during a given trail of 500 flips was 142, it's loses would be around -533.
Smart; on the other foot, was all over the place...!
If it won 2486, it's Max' would be 2806 and it's Min' would be .5.
If it won 30,258, it's Max' winning would be 33,014 with a lowest point of 0.
In other words; The Dumb Player, picking Heads or Tails and Betting Randomly,
Won and Lost Randomly, adhereing to Statistical Probabilities...
While The Smart Player Bucked the Statistical Probibilities...!!!
---
Another point that i was considering, and i still don't have a good answer for this...
Is that -Although- The System allows you to Win Consistently, you still are permitted the possibility of losing.
Losing Everything!
So that-- If you are winning, when should you bail out?
One suggestion is that, if you double your money, you take you winnings, put them in a pocket, and continue to play with your original alpha kitty amount... So that your winnings are protected. If you lose the kitty at some point after that. You're done.
---
Another idea is that the winning 'Curve' or 'Slope' will tell you if you're above or below what you 'should be' winning at any given point in your run.
If you're below the slope, you keep playing,
If you're above the slope, and it is honorable to bail out.
But to bail out when you losing a little, as the system has warned you, repeatedly, may happen...
Makes you a Chicken Shit.
If you're going to ride this Roller Coaster, you have to have the nerve to stay on for the whole ride,
Jumping out before you get to the top will only cause traumatic injuries.
The trouble is though... Where is the top...???
Some trials have shown VERY high winnings,
Others have shown modest winnings,
and some have taken all my money.
---
After a few days,
i looked up the equation for Pascal's Triangle,
which is used to determine statistcal probabilities...
The equation is:
((n+1)!)/(k!((n+1)-k)!)
n is the number of coin flips
k is the number of heads
The result is the statistical chances of the k number of heads coming up for n coin flips.
---
Given this; and more tinkering...
My last version ( of many ) allowed that if:
There was a Zero difference between Reds & Blacks
i would bet 1 Monetary Unit.
( i've been told that for the Casino's around Spokane Washington, you have to place a minimum bet of 3$-- So Either 3$ would replace this minimum amount, or 3$ would become your Basic Monetary Unit... Which would mean that i would suggest that your alpha kitty expand to $900, instead of $300...??? )
If there is a Difference of Two, then you bet 3 Units.
Also; For this system, i was considering a Set of 12 Spins, that were ongoing...
So that each last spin is added to The Set, and the 13th previous spin is deleted...
Which means that ( work this out for youself ) there is never the case of 1 too many Reds or Blacks...!
( Or any odd number, for that matter...!!! )
This also means that when you're considering the next spin resulting set...???...
That set of 12 spins may either be with the same number of Reds & Blacks,
or Two more of The Desired Red or Black
or the Undesired Reds or Blacks...
and this comes into how many good sets may be considered when you're determining how much to bet... !
This is one of the mysterious parts that still needs considerable work...!!! )
A Difference of 4 means that you bet 3 Units, ( same as 2 ! )
A Difference of 6, means that you bet 7 Units.
A Difference of 8, means that you bet 20 Units.
A Difference of 10, means that you bet 101 Units.
A Difference of 12, means that you bet 85 Units...!!!
---
You would think,
And i mentioned this earlier,
That if there was a String of Reds, say 12 Reds for our set of 12 Considered Spins...
You would Bet ALOT on Black...
But you have to ALSO remember that EACH INDIVIDUAL SPIN is not concerned with the Set...!!!
It could be Red, It could be Black, It could be Green, The ball may fly off the wheel.
The System breaks down when Statistical Probabilities become too improbable...!!!
---
The System somehow beats the Odds by Ignoring the Individual Spins,
and taking advantage of an artifical,
and entirely arbitrarily chosen number of spins within a given set.
---
If you win any money using this system, be sure and leave a comment.

---

Essential Idea
---
The Initial Idea for this Scheme was that;
If you’re gambling at a Roulette Wheel and you notice that there has been an unusual number of Reds coming up,
Then—Statistically; there should be a greater chance of Blacks as the next ‘Number’ that comes up.
The ‘Book’ [ Common -Educated- Wisdom ] Says tha;
‘No’- Each Spin is governed by it’s own unique Statistical Probabilities...
Essentially 9 in 19 for either Red or Black, for any given Spin.
Note: Because an American Roulette Wheel has The Zero & ZeroZero Slots,
The Chances of a Red or Black coming up, is not precisely One Half.
---
As it turns out, Computer simulations of these phenomena, and the ability to predict the colour of an up-coming ‘Number’ are within the constraints of chance.
That is: You can not reliably predict the colour of an up-coming ‘Number’.
This defies reason; or the common sense of simple minds, But it seems to be so.
---
Curiously; When you place wagers of A Constant Value, based on this premise, you will do no better than the fool standing next to you.
BUT- If you Vary the Amount of your Wagers, Depending upon The Perceived Likelihood of a Colour coming up...
i.e.; If there has been way too many Reds during the most recent sequence of Spins, Then you would expect a Black to appear ‘Next’- And so you would base the Amount of your Wager on How Many Reds, Disproportionate to Blacks, have Appeared.
The Greater the Disproportionality, The greater your Wager.
Simple enough.
---
THE DATA
---
When i first started playing around with this;
i created a series of programs, continuously being ‘refined’ that began with a simple coin flip,
and a program that would determine The Disproportionality of Heads to Tails and Then Wager Varying Amounts.
Thousands of Trials were run and the results are as follows:
Note: The exact amount and ‘Theory’ behind how much The Smart Player was Wagering varied considerably, as in the early explorations, i had no idea what this formulation should be- The only consistent element was that The Dumb Player; Picked Head or Tails Randomly and Wagered Randomly, within the same range as The Smart Player.

Run A:
The first trial i recorded shows that The Dumb Player,
after 10,003 Flips
Won by 46 Wagering Haematids...!!!
Smart = 5027 : Dumb = 5073
-
Run B:
Dumb bets 1 per Flip.
Smart bets .25 x ABS(H-T)
Number of Heads 5022 : Tails 4978
Smart wins with an accumulated sum of 1492
Dumb loses with –48
Let me remind you that these numbers do not reflect the number times Smart or Dumb chose the ‘Correct’ Side of the Coin, But are the amounts ( in Dollars/Haematids ) that each has won by placing Strategic Bets.
-
Run C:
Dumb bets 1 per Flip
Smart bets ABS(H-T)
Added or Subtracted depending upon whether Smart or Dumb Picks the House’s Flip.
Number of Heads 5074 : Tails 4926
Smart wins with 15,952 ( !!! )
Dumb loses with –96
-
Run D:
Dumb bets a Randomly Selected Amount: 1 to 3 per Flip
Smart bets ABS(H-T) x 3
Number of Heads 5074 : Tails 4926
Smart wins with 30,606
Dumb loses with 17,030
-
Run E:
Dumb bets a Randomly Selected Amount: 1 or 2 per Flip
Smart bets ABS(H-T) x 2
Number of Heads 245 : Tails 255 ( Reduced to 500 Flips )
Dumb wins with 731!
Smart Loses with 600...
Curiously: The highest Dumb got was 731, rising sharply towards the end of the run,
While Smart got all the way up to 1,202, then slowly lost ground to 600...???
-
Run Eb:
Number of Heads 266 : Tails 234
Smart wins with 1,524
Dumb loses with 109
-
Run Ec:
Number of Heads 239 : Tails 261
Dumb wins with 1,023 – Highest Amount 1,088 / Lowest –63
Smart loses with 984 – Highest Amount 1,500 / Lowest 2
-
Run F:
Smart only bets if ABS(H-T) > 4
Number of Heads 232 : Tails 268
Smart wins with 1,788 : Highest 2,324 Lowest 0
Dumb loses with 892 : Highest 1,147 Lowest –64
---
At this point i thought that i’d try actually flipping a coin and using my scheme to predict the outcomes, and betting accordingly...
Because of my general impatience in these matters, and limited to the length of the paper in my notebook, i only tried 29 Flips.
The final result was Zero Dollars acquired, from a starting amount of Zero.
The most intermediate amount accumulated was 20, the lowest –8.
-
Run G: ( Return to Calculator Simulations )
Here i tried to fine tune the amount wagered by taking
the ABS(H-T) x (ABS(H-T)/2) and betting that amount...
Number of Heads 221 : Tails 279 -
Note The High Anomalous Difference of 58...?
Smart wins with 39,744 : Maximum 42,587 Minimum .5
Dumb loses with 2,294 : Maximum 2,294 Minimum –241
-
Run Gb:
Number of Heads 258 : Tails 242 – NonAnomalous Difference
Smart wins with 2,486 : Maximum 2,806 Minimum .5
Dumb loses with –489 : Maximum 142 Minimum –533
-
Run Gc:
Number of Heads 255 : Tails 245 – NonAnomalous Difference
Smart wins with 2,595 : Maximum 2,862 Minimum .5
Dumb loses with 315 : Maximum 448 Minimum –281
-
Run Gd:
Number of Heads 251 : Tails 249 – NonAnomalous Difference
Smart wins with 2,112 : Maximum 3,619 Minimum .5
Dumb loses with 288 : Maximum 366 Minimum –291
-
Run Ge:
Number of Heads 276 : Tails 224 –Anomalous Difference of 52
Smart wins with 30,258 : Maximum 33,015 Minimum .5
Dumb loses with 1,138 : Maximum 1,196 Minimum –289
-
Run Gf:
Number of Heads 257 : Tails 243 – NonAnomalous Difference
Smart wins with 1,643 : Maximum 1,643 Minimum .5
Dumb loses with -28 : Maximum 423 Minimum -60
Something kind of quirky occurred in these last five trials;
The Range of Dumb’s winnings & loses was around ‘600’ for each...???
And Smart never lost money on any of them...!!!
---
Roulette Simulations:
-
Here i switched from a Coin Flip to a more Accurate Roulette Simulator.
The Generator that i used;
Simply made a Random number from 1 to 38
Then subtracted 2,
Leaving 1 to 36 ( MOD 2 ) for Red’s & Black’s
And –1 and 0 for Zero & ZeroZero
The Expected Results for a Series of 380 Spins,
should have been 180 Red’s : 180 Blacks : 20 Green’s.
The Program Generated:
189 Red’s : 163 Blacks : 28 Green’s
181 Red’s : 176 Blacks : 23 Green’s
This was determined by a panel of judges to be acceptable.
---
Run H:
Number of Red’s 234 : Blacks 238
Smart wins with 539 / Maximum 2,601 Minimum .5
Dumb loses with –520 / Maximum 42 Minimum -1032
-
Run I:
Number of Red’s 221 : Blacks 252
Smart wins with 4,055 / Maximum 5,047 Minimum 0
Dumb loses with –910 / Maximum 13 Minimum -910
-
Run J:
Number of Red’s 233 : Blacks 242
Smart wins with 1,324 / Maximum 3,004 Minimum .5
Dumb loses with –1,288 / Maximum 3 Minimum –1,477
-
Run K:
Number of Red’s 237 : Blacks 241
Smart wins with 772 / Maximum 1,779 Minimum 0
Dumb loses with –619 / Maximum 44 Minimum -672
-
Run L:
Number of Red’s 238 : Blacks 230
Dumb wins with -32 / Maximum 0 Minimum -36
Smart loses with –679 / Maximum 2,451 Minimum –789
This was a Very Quirky Run...
Smart is all over the place...???
Should it be ignored,
or is it the exception that (dis(proves)) the rule...???
-
Run M:
Number of Red’s 231 : Blacks 241
Smart wins with 1,001 / Maximum 1,093 Minimum .5
Dumb loses with –50 / Maximum 9 Minimum -50
-
Run N:
Number of Red’s 239 : Blacks 237
Smart wins with 753 / Maximum 1,060 Minimum .5
Dumb loses with –40 / Maximum 5 Minimum -44
---
Up to here; Smart and Dumb started wagering with Zero in their Personal Accounts,
Hereafter; Smart starts with $100
Also: Dumb is no longer playing. Smart is playing against The House.
Smart Wagers ABS(R-B)/VarianceFactor x ABS(R-B)
The VarianceFactor is an arbitrary amount that i was fooling around with to find something that 'Worked Best'...???
Difference: is the Difference between Red & Black at the end of the Trial.
Kitty: is the Amount in ( $ ) that was won at the end of the Trial.
Max and Min are the Amounts at those extremeums during the trial.
---
Red : Difference : Black : Kitty : VF : Maximum : Minimum
131 Spins per Trial.

66 : (1) : 65 : $205 : 5 : 205 : 60
85 : (39!) : 46 : $-3338!!! : 5 : 109 : -3354
59 : (13) : 72 : $249 : 5 : 349 : -291
63 : (5) : 68 : $227 : 5 : 231 : 77
-
From here: Difference refers to The Maximum Difference
-
70 : (14) : 61 : $196 : 5 : 229 : 1
70 : (16) : 61 : $215 : 5 : 215 : -45
75 : (23) : 56 : $69 : 5 : 165 : -551
Even after dropping to -551, it recovers to lose only 31$
-
70 : (12) : 61 : $202 : 4 : 240 : 63
69 : (10) : 62 : $197 : 4 : 197 : 76
60 : (8) : 63 : $207 : 4 : 207 : 86
67 : (11) : 64 : $217 : 4 : 218 : 34
68 : (7) : 63 : $172 : 4 : 180 : 93
-
70 : (16) : 61 : $403! : 3 : 403 : -130
64 : (7) : 63 : $238 : 3 : 238 : 91
72 : (13) : 59 : $40! : 3 : 179 : 13
66 : (9) : 65 : $274 : 3 : 274 : 49
-
500 Spins per Trial.
253 : (20) : 247 : $1,445 : 3 : 1,460 : 21
262 : (33) : 238 : $924 : 3 : 1084 : -2062!!!
-
Safety Valve Installed to prevent Cascade Failures
during Highly Anomalous Series of Reds or Blacks...???
-
234 : (33) : 266 : $1,259! : 3 : 1,367 : -13
245 : (22) : 255 : $-397! : 3 : 529 : -397
257 : (38) : 243 : $613 : 3 : 613 : -1418!!!
-
Removed Safety Valve...!!!
Around here i was also playing around with a Limit of how much The Wager could be,
as a % of what was in The Kitty,
Such that if The Wager was more than 80% of The Kitty,
You could only Bet 80%.
This amount varied from 25% to 80% with unspecified results...???
-
255 : (22) : 245 : $125 : 2 : 130 : 39
242 : (22) : 258 : $0! : 2 : 197 : 0
239 : (26) : 261 : $539! : 2 : 584 : 57
249 : (12) : 251 : $672! : 5 : 672 : -130
70 : (16) : 61 : $403! : 4 : 403 : 100
---
At this point i was also beginning to wonder about things like;
After 'x' number of spins, how much should i have won...???
Is there a Curve or a Slope that would predict this amount...???
When would it be wise or prudent to quit...???
-
New System considers only The Last 12 Spins
Alpha Kitty = $100
Betting Factor is 2, which doesn't seem to make any difference as to what it is...???
-
Kitty at End : Max : Min : MaxProfit/MaxLoss
-
Zeroed Out - Max was 134
$208 : 218 : 56 : 118/44
$99 : 138 : 56 : 118/44
$100 : 166 : 48 : 66/52
$116 : 162 : 82 : 62/18
$214 : 250 : 96 : 150/4
$133 : 210 : 64 : 110/46
$202 : 202 : 98 : 102/2
Zeroed Out @ 38 Spins : Max 124 : 24/100
Zeroed Out @ 74 Spins : Max 126 : 26/100
$111 : 134 : 18 : 34/82
$69 : 104 : 48 : 4/52
-
This set of trials went pretty badly,
Even assuming that the player were able to jump out at The Most Opportune Time,
The amount of profit is pretty dismal.
For my 2 Cents worth, if i'm going to stand at a Roulette Wheel all evening, i would want to wipe The House's ass with sandpaper, and this technique doesn't seem to be owning up to this desired potential.
-
Examining the Odds with Pascal's Triangle...
-
This latest incarnation of The System only considers The Last 12 Spins,
Such that any probabilities considered would fall within this range...
-
There is a 1 in 4096 of 12 Red's showing up...
There is a 1 in 341 of 11 Red's showing up...
There is a 1 in 62 of 10 Red's showing up...
There is a 1 in 19 of 9 Red's showing up...
There is a 1 in 8 of 8 Red's showing up...
There is a 1 in 5 of 7 Red's showing up...
There is a 1 in 4 of 6 Red's showing up...
There is a 1 in 5 of 5 Red's showing up...
There is a 1 in 8 of 4 Red's showing up...
There is a 1 in 19 of 3 Red's showing up...
There is a 1 in 62 of 2 Red's showing up...
There is a 1 in 341 of 1 Red showing up...
-
The Formula for this is:
! means: somenumber multipled by all the numbers less than it, to 1
e.g., 6! = 6 x 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1
( NumberOfMarbles + 1 )!
Divided by:
TheNumberOfRedMarbles!
times
((NumberOfMarbles + 1)
minus
TheNumberOfRedMarbles)!
-
Or:
(m+1)! / (r!*((m+1)-r)!
The result is the probability of That number of Red Marbles ( r )
Occurring in a group of Randomly selected Marbles
Of a predetermined quantity ( m ).
-
The Probability of a Red or Black coming up on a Roulette Wheel is 9 in 19
Slightly less than '50/50'
Because of the two Green Slots:
The Probability of a Green coming up is 1 in 19.
The Probability of The Ball flying off The Wheel is...
( i don't think you can bet on that, so why worry about it...? )
-
My notes become very confusing here...
But i seem to recall that i was thinking that if there were an abundance of Reds,
i would consider not just the probability of a Black coming up,
But The Set of 12 Spins showing 1 new Black or 1 old Black coming up...???
As The 13th Spin would be discarded,
The next Spin could Equalize or Destabilize the Number of Red's to Blacks...???
-
It made sense to me then.
-
So the numbers i cam up with were:
Because of the way The Set of 12 Discards and Adds Spins,
You can only have Differential Quantities of 2 MOD = 1
???
ABS (Red - Black) = 0; then Bet 1
If it's 2; then Bet 3
If it's 4; then Bet 3
If it's 6; then Bet 7
If it's 8; then Bet 20
If it's 10; then Bet 101
If it's 12; then Bet 85 ( !!! ??? )
-
Trials:
-
Alpha Kitty = $300
Number of Spins = 5000
Kitty = Amount at end of the Trial
Max = Maximum Amount won during Trail
Min = Minimum Amount during Trial
Gain as Fraction = Actual Winnings / Actual Losses
Gain per Spin ( Max =
Amount expected to win; Per Spin; if you baled out at Zenith
Gain per Spin ( End =
Amount expected to win, Per Spin; if you hung on to the End
Hitz = Number of Correct Colour Guess' :
...Smart vs The House as a Fraction
Pure chance of Hitz is .4737 and it doesn't seem to significantly deviate from this...
Although- It is always above it...???
-
Kitty : Max : Min : GaF : GpS(Max) : GpS(End) : Hitz
-
$571 : 766 : 158 : 3.28 : .09c : .05c : .4832
Zeroed Out @ 2155 Spins
$0 : 680 : -19 : -- : .18c : .00c : .4863
$700 : 706 : 121 : 2.268 : .08c : .08c : .4772
Zeroed @ 979 Spins
$0 : 483 : -3 : 26.143!!! : .19c : .00c : .4863
This is apparently a classic case of Catastrophic Cascade Failure due to a Very Anomalous Chromatic Distribution...!!!
A plot of this Trial shows that fell VERY Quickly after hitting a local peak of 293...
So ignoring the Catastrophic Element-
The Gain as a Fraction would be about 26.143
Which is absurdly high.
$654 : 727 : 170 : 3.285 : .08c : .07c : .4944

After 25,000 Spins for these latest Trials,
It would seem that; Using this System;
The Smart Player should expect a solid return of 6 to 7 Cents for every Dollar Wagered.
( That would mean $1.06 to $1.07 per Spin, before deducting the Wagered Amount )
Obviously then;
Betting $1000 as a 'Unit' Wager, you could expect to Win $60 to $70 per Spin.
-
The Programs
as Crude Flow Charts
---
[SmartPlayer]
Calculate Red-Black; Absolute ( Make Positive ) for any given Spin.
These Quantities; Red & Black are Tallied within The Set of 12 which is also ongoing.
For each Spin that The House Makes; The Oldest Spin ( #13 ) is Discarded, and the New Spin is added to the Set. Then The Red & Black Quantities are reassessed.
If this Difference between Red & Black is 0; Then a Bet of 1 is made.
If the difference is 2; The Bet is 3.
4 is 3, 6 is 7, 8 is 20, 10 is 101 and 12 is 85.
If there are too many Reds, Bet on Black.
And Vice Versa.
You may also want to build in a safety feature that doesn't allow you to bet more than is in your Kitty, or a substantial fraction/percentage thereof.
This threshold is something that you, yourself, must agonize over.
-
[HouseRouletterSpinner]
Randomly Generate a Number between 1 & 38
Subtract 2
If the result is -1 or 0, then it's presumed to be either Zero or ZeroZero on The Roulette Wheel. It is discarded and no number's are added to The Set of 12.
Otherwise The Number is Sieved through a Modulus Two Function which will make it a 1 for Red or a 0 for Black.
This result is attached to a prearranged list of 1's and 0's
{ 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 } ( The Set of 12 at the Beginning )
The oldest is Discarded from one end, While the new Red or Black, 1 or 0 is attached to the other end.
The 1's are counted and assigned to The Variable 'Red'.
The 0's are counted and assigned to The Variable 'Black'.

[TheLoopOfSpins]
Determine How Many Spins you would Like...
Store The Alpha Kitty with The Desired Amount.
Store The Initial : The Set of 12
Store Zero in Hitz If you're Interested in that Variable.
Store/Initialize all The Other Variables that you'd like to Track.
Generate The Smart Player's Prediction and Wager
Generate The House's Spin Colour
Did The Smart Player Guess Correctly?
If so; Add The Wager to The Kitty.
Otherwise; Subtract The Wager from The Kitty.
Post all Variables that you'd like to view during The Trial.
If Kitty equals Zero = Abort!
Otherwise; Repeat until All Spins are completed.
-
That's all i have...
There's more in the Directory; But it's just a load of crap.
-
Does this System really work?
Does it...???
No- Really, i'm asking you...
Do you think it actually returns a small,
but consistent profit margin...???
eh?
--- --- ---
Supplement / APPENDIX Ω

After receiving and analyzing a significant amout of critical exposition;
[ see: HP48 NewsGroup: Can You Win @ Roulette...??? ( part a )
& HP48 NewsGroup: Can You Win @ Roulette...??? ( part b ) ]
---
i have decided that The Key Ingredient for Winning at Roulette is not The Guessing of Which Colour will come up at all...
That may be Completely RANDOMIZED--
---
The Key--
If there is one; Is in The Betting;
And The Scheme here that i've rediscovered, ( Sort of Vaguely )
Is known, i think, as "Doubling Up".
Also called: The Martingale System or The O'Hare Straddle
---
This latest round of Simulations that i've done;
Tried several new 'Dumb' Attacks:
Just to make sure that the Simulator was still working, i retried The Smart Emulator...
Each Run consisted of 500 Roulette Spins,
And each Trial consisted of 5 of these Runs,
So that Each Smart or Dumb Emulator got to play with 2,500 Roulette Spins.
---
Smart Zeroed Out on two of the Trials,
And for the other 3, Won $20, $105 & $214.
It continued to look, both; Somewhat Inconsistent--
Yet Optimistically Promising.
Just to remind you;
This Approach consists of Betting on the Deficient Colour; Proportional to it's Deficiency,
In Increments of { 1 3 3 7 20 101 85 }
---
Dumb a) Bet on the Excessive Colour; Proportional to it's Deficiency.
It Won/Lost $-13, $+52, $-141, $-74 & $-161
It never Zeroed Out, But it only Won Meagerly...???
Is there something to Betting on The Deficient Colour...???
Probably not...
The Maximum Zenith's for Smart was 387.4,
While Max Zenith's for Dumb a) was 366.7...
Not terribly different...???
---
Dumb b) Bet on The Excessive Colour; Anti Proportionally!
Disaster! It Zeroed out every time...!
BUT...!!! Before Zeroing out--
It's Average Maximum Zenith's were $1,144.2...!
All Maximum Zenith's were above The Alpha Kitty of $300.
Way better than Smart or Dumb a)'s...???
---
Dumb c) Bet on The Deficient Colour; Anti Proportionally...
Again-- It Zeroed Out for Every Trial...
With a Maximum Zenith of Minus $8...!!!
It's difficult to make any conclusive denouement's when the data isn't being the least consistent or even 'Trying' to form a pattern of some kind...!!!
---
Dumb d) Bet Randomly on Red or B-; Proportionally to The Deficient Ratios...
Proportional Wagering Pays off...
$47, $141, $445, $51 with one loss of $-33.
These are Winnings Over The Alpha Kitty...
( More than what The Player brought in )
---
Dumb e) Bet Randomly; Anti Proportionally.
Zeroed Out Every time, But with a Maximum Zenith Average of $93.
---
Dumb f) Bet Randomly; Randomly from Proportional List
The Wild Card
Zero's Out for 4 of the Trials,
But Wins one Trial with $1,391...!!!
On One of the Zeroed Trials, it got up to $842 ( Winnings )
The Average Maximum Zenith was $482.6
---
Dumb g) Bet Randomly; Wagering Cyclically...
Wagering Forward & Backwards { 2 4 6 8 10 12 }
Wins $32
Wagering only Forward; 2 to 12, 2 to 12...
Wins $18
---
Dumb h) Bet Randomly: Wagering Modulus Mirror Clock
What i mean by Modulus Mirror Clock is that the Wagers are arranged around a illusive Clock:
{ 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 64 32 16 8 4 }
The Net Effect is that while an incremental amount is advanced, or decremented, in units of '1', the amount, taken from The Clock's Face Values, changes by only 'One Step' per Spin.
Since this Set contains 7 unique elements, The Modulus Set Limit would be "7".
---
The Program that i used to accomplish this is:
[ Mod~ ]
Incremental Number = 'n' Store
Modulus Set Limit = 'm' Store
IF m <>
THEN ABS(m) + 2 = 'm' Store
END
( m * 2 ) - 1 = 'i' Store ( Integer Modulus )
MOD(n-1,i) + 1 = 'r' Store
IF r > m
THEN ( m * 2 ) - r = 'r' Store
END
r is The Answer
---
This overly complicated approach resulted in One Trial that Won $1,536,
While the other 4 trials Zeroed Out with Maximum Zenith's of; $102, $1,348; $358 & $132.
---
What does this all mean...???
Is there some Crazy Variation on 'Doubling Up' that actually works...???
---
Future Examiners...
Good Luck!
---